Nerd Pride Radio

Rules: Guess the Friday through Sunday domestic gross (as reported in the actuals from Box Office Mojo) for the number one movie for the weekend of June 15, 2018. You get points based on the difference between your guess and the actual opening (whether its higher or lower). You don't have to guess a particular movie, just a dollar amount. You can not guess an amount that has already been guessed by someone for this week. Once you've made a guess, you can't change it. Guesses have to be submitted by midnight the Wednesday before the opening. Guesses must be rounded to the nearest million dollars.

Results will be cumulative week to week for the current season for everyone that continues to play. If you miss a week, you can still play, but your score is 125% of the worst actual score awarded on the week you missed. If you miss two weeks in a row, you're out of the metagame, but still welcome to play the weekly game. There are three seasons per calendar year: (1) January 1 - the weekend before Memorial Day; (2) Memorial Day weekend - Labor Day weekend; and (3) the weekend after Labor Day weekend - December 31.

Lifetime scores will be tracked as long as there are two people that have not been eliminated (by missing two weeks in a row). In the even that only one person remains in the lifetime scores, that person will be deemed King of Movie Mountain, and the lifetime scores will reset beginning with the next week. The King of Movie Mountain's reign lasts until a new King of Movie Mountain is named through the application of these rules.

Please feel free to discuss prospects and speculation- this is highly encouraged. But once you post up a guess, it cannot be changed.

I'll normally post this up on the Monday before the opening weekend, and will update the cumulative scores when the actuals are released (usually Tuesday afternoon).

Wide release movies opening this week include:
The Incredibles 2
Tag

Season 18:2 Scores (UPDATED):
Zombie- 51
buckett- 52
Mike- 53
Kyle- 54
Zen- 72
poorpete- 73

Lifetime Scores (UPDATED):
Zombie- 536
buckett- 572
Kyle- 577
poorpete- 606
Zen- 618

Guesses (in millions):
poorpete- 124
Mike- 138
Kyle- 139
buckett- 140
Zen- 141
Zombie- 142

$139 million

$124 M

140

Metascores updated.

142

138

$141 Mil

Here we go again. Deadline is saying that Incredibles 2 might open as high as 174 after looking at the Friday receipts.

No shit. I knew the record for animated openings was 135, so I went higher than that, thinking I would be the ceiling and hoping for a break out. Little did I know.

So, well-reviewed sequel Deadpool 2 meh, well-reviewed sequel Incredibles 2, hell yeah.

I'm starting to think... Disney. It's Disney.

Or I'm as bad as I was once good.

Incredibles was the first big summer kids movie.

Current estimates at 180... We're all taking a BIG HIT on this one...

I don't buy 180.

I could be wrong, but I don't feel this one.

We'll see. I'm usually wrong.

That's what's on the BoxOfficeMojo site for the current weekend estimate, though... It seems a bit high. I didn't go see it, so it couldn't have been THAT popular.

I don't know why the studio would estimate it at way over. When it over-performs as much as this did, I just don't see the incentive to give anything other than an honest estimate. I mean- maybe it comes in at 178, but it won't be a huge difference.

Whoops. I thought we were in the other thread talking about Jurassic World. I'm dumb.

And there's no "big hit" if we're all within a few million of each other. I don't have to outrun the bear... I just have to outrun you.

Well... poorpete's taking a pretty big hit...

Boosting everyone else's ego since Fall 2017