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Nerd Pride Radio The home of the Nerd Pride Radio podcast and other acts of nerdity. 2018-09-06T14:41:16-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/feed.php?f=7&t=2390 2018-09-06T14:41:16-06:00 2018-09-06T14:41:16-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42757#p42757 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]>
Although, that said, I had been playing where I try to take an extreme that others won't go over (or under, depending) and that hasn't worked out for me. I think this season I'm just going to guess where I think it will land and not try "stretching" for a certain number.

Statistics: Posted by Kyle — Thu Sep 06, 2018 3:41 pm

]]> 2018-09-06T13:47:21-06:00 2018-09-06T13:47:21-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42750#p42750 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Mike — Thu Sep 06, 2018 2:47 pm

]]> 2018-09-06T13:31:33-06:00 2018-09-06T13:31:33-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42749#p42749 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Zombie — Thu Sep 06, 2018 2:31 pm

]]> 2018-09-06T13:08:11-06:00 2018-09-06T13:08:11-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42745#p42745 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]>
I looked at how far off of the average each player was each week (on average)...

poorpete -- 5.07
Zen -- 3.73
Kyle -- 3.51
Mike -- 2.62
dan -- 2.39
buckett -- 1.73
Zombie -- 1.63

I was right that poorpete was the biggest outlier, with Zen a distant second and Kyle right behind. I think what we learned here is that Zombie and buckett are the steadiest players and will likely finish near the top most seasons. I take moderate risks, which in this case happened to pay off for me, landing me in the top spot, but previously has gone south on me and put me 2nd to last. I think for me it was more luck than skill that I happened to come out on top this time.

Statistics: Posted by Mike — Thu Sep 06, 2018 2:08 pm

]]> 2018-09-06T12:43:06-06:00 2018-09-06T12:43:06-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42742#p42742 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]>
I plugged stuff into a spreadsheet, and it turns out that if I played the average every week, my final score would actually have been 171. Which would have put it in 4th place, right in the middle of the pack.

If I could actually play the average and not be constricted to whole numbers that haven't been taken yet, it would have been 166. If I could play the median instead, it would have jumped to 162 and 3rd place.

Lesson learned, playing averages won't win you any prizes, but on a given week when you are pressed for time and/or haven't got a good feel for the movies that week, playing the average will at least not put you much behind as a holdover. A lesson which we probably could have guessed from common sense without an hour of playing with spreadsheets.

Statistics: Posted by Mike — Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:43 pm

]]> 2018-09-06T10:32:11-06:00 2018-09-06T10:32:11-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42738#p42738 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Zen — Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:32 am

]]> 2018-09-06T09:32:36-06:00 2018-09-06T09:32:36-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42733#p42733 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Mike — Thu Sep 06, 2018 10:32 am

]]> 2018-09-06T08:54:28-06:00 2018-09-06T08:54:28-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42729#p42729 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Zen — Thu Sep 06, 2018 9:54 am

]]> 2018-09-06T08:40:22-06:00 2018-09-06T08:40:22-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42728#p42728 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]>
This is even more significant when you realize that I'm only playing the average of the players who actually made a guess. People who missed a week took a penalty that would have dragged the final scores down while not affecting my "average" player.

On the other hand, about half the time, my fictional player couldn't take the average, because that guess was already taken, and on a tight week, it might have had to shift by 2 or 3 million to find an open number.

Statistics: Posted by Mike — Thu Sep 06, 2018 9:40 am

]]> 2018-09-06T07:59:02-06:00 2018-09-06T07:59:02-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42724#p42724 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Zen — Thu Sep 06, 2018 8:59 am

]]> 2018-09-05T18:57:40-06:00 2018-09-05T18:57:40-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42711#p42711 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by poorpete — Wed Sep 05, 2018 7:57 pm

]]> 2018-09-05T17:40:00-06:00 2018-09-05T17:40:00-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42710#p42710 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Mike — Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:40 pm

]]> 2018-09-05T11:57:45-06:00 2018-09-05T11:57:45-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42694#p42694 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Mike — Wed Sep 05, 2018 12:57 pm

]]> 2018-09-05T10:26:28-06:00 2018-09-05T10:26:28-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42689#p42689 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Zen — Wed Sep 05, 2018 11:26 am

]]> 2018-09-05T09:17:29-06:00 2018-09-05T09:17:29-06:00 https://nerdprideradio.com/nerds/viewtopic.php?t=2390&p=42682#p42682 <![CDATA[Re: Top Grossers: 8/31/18]]> Statistics: Posted by Mike — Wed Sep 05, 2018 10:17 am

]]>