But either way the point is not that a person would have done better; the point is that one of the most important reasons we are to accept the cars is that they do better than people. But do they? People are not only poor drivers, but they are notoriously poor monitors of autonomous systems like these self-driving cars. These are things the military, for instance, has had to learn how to counteract, because of difficulties with the way humans pay attention to things, or not. If there is any role for a human monitor, then we have to address the two forks of that problem: minimum monitoring goes along with minimal attention paid to the monitoring task, and maximum monitoring goes along with confusion over when the autonomous system is responsible and when the human is supposed to take a turn at controlling it.
Tangentially, I was stuck for a very long time in a traffic jam caused by an accident today. I don't know whether it was the kind of accident that a self-driving automobile would have prevented, performed the same as the humans, or potentially worse. Anyway, as an experiment I watched all of the people driving by me at slow speeds because I was in the position to look straight into their windshield and observe them as drivers. I noticed how many people were either holding a phone in their right hand or looking down periodically at the phone or whatever it might be that took their attention off the road in front of them. Approximately 40% of the drivers were either actively looking at a phone or their attention was being drawn away from the road by something (could have been the radio, could have been their soda can, could have been a cell phone that was below the dashboard in such a way I couldn't see it). So it's bad that these people are already driving vehicles while juggling other distractions to their attention. But it's a fair bet they will become even more distracted if any part of their task is being taken over by an autonomous system. So it becomes very important that the autonomous system does not depend on them almost at all. Is that possible with the present level of technology?
And are we demanding - by we I mean absolutely anyone who has oversight over these decisions - that companies that manufacture the vehicles reveal the basis for their decision making about how the car is supposed to make "choices" that potentially impact life-or-death scenarios? Somewhere a human being or a group of human beings made a bunch of decisions about what was right and wrong for the car to do and programmed that into what the car is capable of. Given that I almost totally reject utilitarianism as a basis for ethics and find that most people are completely ass-backwards in the whole realm of moral reasoning, that's a problem for me.Statistics: Posted by Phoebe — Tue Mar 27, 2018 10:21 pm
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