Repeal of the individual mandate means 13 million people will lose health insurance. Most people assume that's not them so they aren't as outraged.
Health care costs are projected to rise an additional 10% year over year as a direct result of this. The child credit is being doubled (more money back for families, YAY) but it is no longer fully refundable so it mostly benefits upper incomes. Lower income families will actually see LESS money back as a result. The repeal of SALT means state/local/property taxes will no longer be deductible which will raise everyone's effective tax rate but will hurt high population states the most.
On average middle and lower incomes will see no change or a slight reduction in their base tax rate but will be paying more money out of pocket as a result of this bill. And then even those lower tax rates will expire after a few years and most of everyone making less than 250,000 a year will be very much worse off.
Not to mention that the deficit will increase by 1.5 trillion over this period.
At least three Republicans in Congress have stated outright that this bill is urgent for them because they need to repay their donors. At least one Republican Representative stated outright that this is phase 1: first we cut revenue and raise the deficit, and then use that as justification for cutting entitlements down the road.
But all of that is too complex to make outragable sound bites out of. People see that their base tax rate for next year isn't going up and they don't calculate all the complexities. The huge majority of the country think this bill is essentially a windfall for the rich (and it is) and the large majority of the country is not in favor of this bill (22% approval rating) but the GOP is pushing it through anyway.
If it becomes the law of the land we are stuck with it until at least 2020. Even if the Dems take the House and the Senate in 2018, Trump (Or Pence) will veto any attempt at repeal.
The Republicans are getting their donor payout to ensure that the PAC money keeps rolling in, but I don't know if it will be enough to outweigh the ill will this will generate with the voting public. No matter what the truth of this bill is, it is easily caricatured as Dr. Evil style supervillainy in 2018's Democratic campaign ads.Statistics: Posted by Mike — Tue Dec 05, 2017 10:49 am
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